{"id":4434,"date":"2024-01-21T14:16:52","date_gmt":"2024-01-21T14:16:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gnews.cz\/?p=4434"},"modified":"2025-03-13T20:53:47","modified_gmt":"2025-03-13T19:53:47","slug":"con-el-petroleo-y-karabaj-como-seran-las-elecciones-presidenciales-de-azerbaiyan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gnews.cz\/es\/politika\/s-ropou-a-karabachem-jak-pujdou-prezidentske-volby-azerbajdzanu\/","title":{"rendered":"Con petr\u00f3leo y Karabaj: c\u00f3mo ser\u00e1n las elecciones presidenciales en Azerbaiy\u00e1n"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Foto: Getty Images\/Anadolu\/Contributor<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dne 7. \u00fanora se \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n bude konat prezidentsk\u00e9 volby. Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 hlava st\u00e1tu Ilham Alijev je pova\u017eov\u00e1na za bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u00e9ho favorita. Odborn\u00edci se domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee po hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee doj\u00edt k nov\u00e9 eskalaci, nap\u0159\u00edklad st\u0159ety o koridor Zangesur.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Co je zn\u00e1mo o volb\u00e1ch<\/strong>
Dne 7. \u00fanora se v \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu budou konat prezidentsk\u00e9 volby. Baku zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed bude prvn\u00ed po op\u011btovn\u00e9m za\u010dlen\u011bn\u00ed Karabaku. Podle p\u0159edstavitele \u00dast\u0159edn\u00ed volebn\u00ed komise (\u00daVK) jej\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel Mazakhir Panakhov vyj\u00e1d\u0159il \u017ee se na osvobozen\u00fdch \u00fazem\u00edch otev\u0159e 26 volebn\u00edch m\u00edstnost\u00ed, a a\u017e 20 tis\u00edc lid\u00ed bude m\u00edt mo\u017enost a pr\u00e1vo hlasovat. „Nejedn\u00e1 se pouze o ty, kte\u0159\u00ed se ji\u017e vr\u00e1tili do sv\u00e9 vlasti, ale tak\u00e9 \u010detn\u00e9 stavitele a instal\u00e1tory, kte\u0159\u00ed se zab\u00fdvaj\u00ed restaurov\u00e1n\u00edm regionu,“ zd\u016fraz\u0148uje.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Sou\u010dasn\u00fd hlava st\u00e1tu Ilham Aliyev, kter\u00fd vede zemi od roku 2003, je pova\u017eov\u00e1n za bezkonkure\u010dn\u00ed uchaze\u010d o v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. V vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed stran\u011b Eni Azerbajd\u017e\u00e1n z\u00e1rove\u0148 \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, \u017ee vid\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho v\u016fdce \u201ev\u011b\u010dn\u00e9ho prezidenta\u201c. „Po mnoho let v\u0161ichni \u0159\u00edkali, \u017ee osvoboditel Karabachu bude v\u011b\u010dn\u00fdm prezidentem.“ Ilham Aliyev po dobu 20 let sv\u00e9 politiky, jeho ministerstva, tento p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek z\u00edskal tento p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek, \u201c\u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Tair Budagov, vedouc\u00ed centr\u00e1ln\u00edho apar\u00e1tu strany.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Krom\u011b Alijeva zaregistrovala \u00daVK dal\u0161\u00edch \u0161est kandid\u00e1t\u016f. Nejzku\u0161en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed z nich je Gudrat Hasanguliev, kter\u00fd se \u00fa\u010dastnil v\u0161ech prezidentsk\u00fdch kampan\u00ed od roku 2003, zat\u00edmco nikdy nez\u00edskal v\u00edce ne\u017e 3% hlas\u016f. Dal\u0161\u00edm znateln\u00fdm kandid\u00e1tem byl z\u00e1stupce nab\u00eddky parlamentu Zahid. Dvakr\u00e1t b\u011b\u017eel na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek, ve volb\u00e1ch v roce 2018 z\u00edskal o n\u011bco v\u00edce ne\u017e 3% hlas\u016f. Politi\u010dt\u00ed v\u011bdci, kte\u0159\u00ed nazna\u010duj\u00ed skromn\u00e9 \u200b\u200b\u00fasp\u011bchy opozice, \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00e9 volby budou prakticky ne – alternativn\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Je zaj\u00edmav\u00e9, \u017ee v tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu docela pevn\u011b chr\u00e1n\u00ed sociopolitick\u00fd prostor p\u0159ed vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm z\u00e1sahem. P\u0159ed nov\u00fdm rokem byla americk\u00e1 agentura zak\u00e1z\u00e1na v americk\u00e9 agentu\u0159e v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm rozvoji (USAID), v lednu Baku poslal dva zam\u011bstnance francouzsk\u00e9ho velvyslanectv\u00ed ze zem\u011b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pro\u010d se volby budou konat pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f<\/strong>
Sou\u010dasn\u00e9 prezidentsk\u00e9 volby budou brzy. Aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed obdob\u00ed Ilham Aliyeva vypr\u0161\u00ed v dubnu 2025, tj. Hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed se bude konat o rok d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e je p\u0159edeps\u00e1no. Alijev s\u00e1m podrobn\u011b hovo\u0159il o tom, co ho p\u0159im\u011blo k zah\u00e1jen\u00ed kampan\u011b. V rozhovoru pouk\u00e1zal na to, \u017ee \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n dokon\u010dil hlavn\u00ed \u00fakol, kter\u00fd vy\u0159e\u0161il posledn\u00edch 30 let, – dos\u00e1hl op\u011btovn\u00e9ho za\u010dlen\u011bn\u00ed Karabaku. „Za\u010d\u00e1tek nov\u00e9 \u00e9ry by samoz\u0159ejm\u011b m\u011bl b\u00fdt poznamen\u00e1n nov\u00fdmi volbami,“ zd\u016fraznil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Krom\u011b toho Alijev \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee bude spr\u00e1vn\u00e9 po\u0159\u00e1dat volby po cel\u00e9 zemi, aby hlava st\u00e1tu pln\u011b reprezentovala \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9 lidi, m\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed legitimitu. Nakonec si sou\u010dasn\u00fd prezident vzpom\u00edn\u00e1, \u017ee ned\u00e1vno byla 20 let jeho pr\u00e1ce na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edm postu. „To je tak\u00e9 ur\u010dit\u00e9 obdob\u00ed.“ V d\u016fsledku toho mus\u00edme p\u0159ijmout a nakreslit chronologickou linii, \u201cv\u011b\u0159\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Podle jedn\u00e9 verze chce prezident Alijev vyd\u011blat na \u00fasp\u011bchu dosa\u017een\u00e9m ve sm\u011bru Karabachu. V \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu ale euforie nezmiz\u00ed v souvislosti s obnovou \u00fazemn\u00ed integrity. Alijev obdr\u017eel sl\u00e1vu dobyvatele Karabachu a upev\u0148ovatele zem\u011b. Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee se rozhodl vyu\u017e\u00edt t\u011bchto n\u00e1lad, aby potvrdil sv\u00e9 s\u00edly. Je pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee za rok mohou b\u00fdt socioekonomick\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky do pop\u0159ed\u00ed, bude obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed poskytnout nov\u00fd term\u00edn, \u201c\u0159\u00edk\u00e1 politick\u00fd analytik Andrei Areshev Izvestii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Podle jin\u00e9 verze chce hlava st\u00e1tu z\u00edskat podporu lid\u00ed pro n\u011bkter\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00ed osudn\u00e9 kroky. V tomto smyslu je \u010dasto zmi\u0148ov\u00e1no podpis m\u00edrov\u00e9 smlouvy s Arm\u00e9ni\u00ed. V Jerevanu v\u0161ak na za\u010d\u00e1tku tohoto roku za\u010dali mluvit o regresi na \u0159ad\u011b vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00edch pozic. Vedouc\u00ed arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy, Nikol Pa\u0161injan, poznamenal, \u017ee \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e1 strana odm\u00edtla zrcadlov\u011b odvolat voj\u00e1ky z hranic a necht\u011bla demilitarizovat pohrani\u010dn\u00ed oblasti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A podle dal\u0161\u00edho stanoviska se prezidentsk\u00e9 volby naopak mohou st\u00e1t prologem nov\u00e9 exacerbace. P\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 se, \u017ee \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e1 strana se m\u016f\u017ee pokusit prorazit koridor Zangezur – silnice na jih od Arm\u00e9nie, kter\u00e1 spoj\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161inu \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu s Nakhichevan Exklus. Tak\u017ee na plak\u00e1tech s v\u00fdzvami, kter\u00e9 p\u0159ijdou 7. \u00fanora, se zobraz\u00ed mapa zem\u011b voleb, na kter\u00fdch je nakreslen koridor Zangesur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Ilham Alijev nav\u00edc b\u011bhem jednoho z ned\u00e1vn\u00fdch rozhovor\u016f uvedl, \u017ee v sov\u011btsk\u00fdch letech \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n \u201ep\u0159edstavil\u201c Arm\u00e9nie obrovsk\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed. \u201eDary ve form\u011b \u00fazem\u00ed trvaly roky. Na\u0161e zem\u011b byly po \u010d\u00e1stech p\u0159em\u00edst\u011bny do Arm\u00e9nie a oblast [\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu], kter\u00e1 byla t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 100 tis\u00edc metr\u016f \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00edch. km, sn\u00ed\u017eil se na 86,6 tis\u00edc metr\u016f \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00edch. KM, \u201c\u0159ekl a dodal, \u017ee mezi\u201e dary \u201cpat\u0159ila z\u00e1padn\u00ed Zangezur (oblast Arm\u00e9nie Syunik).<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Nakonec se ned\u00e1vno zhor\u0161ily vztahy \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a Franci\u00ed. Je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee p\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00e9 volby v Baku ozn\u00e1mily, \u017ee z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b nemaj\u00ed \u010das p\u0159ipravit n\u011bkter\u00e1 protestn\u00ed p\u0159edstaven\u00ed. Je to charakteristick\u00e9, \u017ee doslova den p\u0159ed za\u010d\u00e1tkem volebn\u00ed kampan\u011b Alijev kritizoval Ameri\u010dany a Evropany za zaujat\u00fd postoj k \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Co se stane p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011b<\/strong>
\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00fd politolog Ilgar Velizade v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee po volb\u00e1ch lze aktivovat vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed Baku a Jerevan. Nejistota p\u0159i vymezen\u00ed hranice, odemknut\u00ed komunikace, \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9 enkl\u00e1vy z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed. Samostatnou polo\u017ekou je budoucnost koridoru Zangezur. V roce 2020 Arm\u00e9nie souhlasila s jeho stvo\u0159en\u00edm, ale pak opustila sv\u00e1 slova. Zjevn\u011b budete muset n\u011bjak pracovat, abyste zajistili, \u017ee Jerevan vede konzistentn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed politiku. Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee po volb\u00e1ch bude koordinace pozic pokra\u010dovat, \u201czd\u016fraz\u0148uje.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rusk\u00fd politick\u00fd v\u011bdec Andrei Areshev \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee po volb\u00e1ch na ji\u017en\u00edm Kavkaze je mo\u017en\u00e1 nov\u00e1 eskalace. Mezi \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nem a Arm\u00e9ni\u00ed existuje mnoho rozpor\u016f. Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed o koridoru Zangezur a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00fdch enkl\u00e1v\u00e1ch obsazen\u00fdch v 90. letech arm\u00e9nsk\u00fdmi silami. Vid\u00edme, \u017ee r\u00e9torika Baku se ned\u00e1vno zp\u0159\u00edsnila. Nevylu\u010duji, \u017ee po 7. \u00fanoru dojde k nov\u00e9 exacerbaci energie. Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee v Rusku pe\u010dliv\u011b sleduj\u00ed, co se d\u011bje, aby se zabr\u00e1nilo eskalaci, \u201ctvrd\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Izvestia\/gnews.cz\/JaV<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/iz.ru\/1635699\/igor-karmazin\/s-neftiu-i-karabakhom-kak-proidut-vybory-prezidenta-azerbaidzhana<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Foto: Getty Images\/Anadolu\/Contributor El 7 de febrero, Azerbaiy\u00e1n celebrar\u00e1 elecciones presidenciales. El actual jefe de Estado, Ilham Aliyev, es considerado el favorito incondicional....<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4448,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[1055,87,479,78,478,88,10,17,41],"class_list":["post-4434","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politika","tag-armenie-2","tag-azerbajdzan","tag-baku","tag-evropa","tag-ilham-aliev","tag-nahorni-karabach","tag-news","tag-top","tag-world"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gnews.cz\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4434","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gnews.cz\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gnews.cz\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gnews.cz\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gnews.cz\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4434"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/gnews.cz\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4434\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gnews.cz\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4448"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gnews.cz\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4434"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gnews.cz\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4434"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gnews.cz\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4434"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}