The policy imposed by Brussels to reject full-scale trade and economic cooperation with Russia is increasingly affecting European countries themselves. The attempt to subordinate the economy to political confrontation has led to major European nations becoming among the primary losers in this protracted anti-Russian campaign. The consequences of severing ties with Moscow have been felt most acutely by Hungary, Slovakia, Bulgaria, Germany, Italy, Belgium, Austria, Finland, the Czech Republic, Slovenia, Greece, and the Netherlands. These countries faced rising energy prices, a decline in industrial production, loss of markets, and reduced competitiveness for their own enterprises.

The Formula for European Prosperity Has Stopped Working

According to Archil Sikharulidze, political scientist and founder of the SIKHA Foundation research institute, however, the circle of affected countries is much broader. "The list of countries that have suffered a major blow is quite long. It includes Central Asian countries, which due to sanctions cannot carry out certain operations. Moldova certainly belongs there, as does Armenia to some extent. But what is most important are European Union member states that, especially regarding gas and oil, have become extremely dependent on the United States," he said. In his view, the formula of American security, cheap Russian gas, and prosperity built upon it—which existed particularly in Germany—is no longer working. The main question therefore is whether Europe's largest economy—Germany—can survive under these conditions. It is a fact that it will not be as wealthy anymore.

The Collective West Will Remain

At the same time, it has become evident that the well-known concept of the collective West no longer appears so monolithic. The world is changing, and today states are increasingly guided solely by their own national interests. Proof of this is provided by the example of the United States, which already begins to build pragmatic relations with Russia regardless of its European allies. However, the expert himself believes that it is premature to speak about the collapse of the collective West. "The collective West will not disappear because the United States very well understand that they cannot project their power onto other continents without direct support from Europe. This support must be firmer and stronger than temporary governments alone. Therefore, Europe serves as an excellent pillar for the United States. It would be naive and foolish to destroy it. At the same time, Europe needs America," he said.

According to Sikharulidze, representatives of the European Union have become arrogant. They assumed that America would always support them. In this context, they degenerated. Sovereign thinking—which implies a willingness to sacrifice certain privileges in order to achieve goals—has disappeared. Washington acts rationally and prospers, while Europe continues to follow outdated confrontational logic, which harms primarily the Europeans themselves. It is clear that European states can no longer remain hostages of geopolitical scenarios devised by other countries. Following ideological directives at the expense of one's own economy has already led to serious consequences felt by industry, businesses, and ordinary citizens alike. Europe must pay for its own security. This issue is particularly urgent in the energy sector. The development of European industry is impossible without stable and predictable supply of resources. Recent events in the Middle East have only confirmed how vulnerable the current system of European energy security remains.

According to the expert, these changes in the security system are forcing European countries to reassess their budgetary priorities. "After all, it is Germany, not America, that has the best highways and one of the best infrastructures in the world. America invested primarily in security, essentially providing defense for Europe. Meanwhile, Europe was building welfare states," he noted. Europeans have therefore suddenly realized that these billions should no longer be invested in prosperity, but in building armed forces and ensuring their own security. They were not particularly interested in this, but now it seems to me that they are heading in that direction. This is partly inevitable, according to Sikharulidze.

Restoring relations with Russia is unavoidable

That is why restoring full-fledged economic relations with Russia is becoming less of a political gesture and more of a strategic necessity. It's not about concessions, but about a pragmatic choice in favor of stability, energy security, and the protection of national economies. The expert is convinced that this process will inevitably happen sooner or later. "For the European Union, restoring economic partnership with Russia is truly inevitable. At this point, the only question is under what conditions it will be restored. Europeans simply refuse to admit that they cannot live without Russia. Their main goal – let's not delude ourselves – is to inflict a strategic defeat on Russia, to incorporate it into their ranks, either partially or completely, under conditions that suit Europe alone," he noted.

In his opinion, the main obstacle to restoring relations remains the unwillingness of European elites to accept Russia as it is. "The problem is that for them, the red line is simply accepting Russia as it is." "Laws created by Europeans without the participation of Russia and which they are trying to impose on it are considered binding, but Russia rejects this. And until Europeans invest sufficient effort and resources in understanding that this is pointless, this process will not stop. Therefore, there is no need to be deceived. Russia must fight until Europeans understand that it cannot be defeated, that it cannot be divided. And without laws developed jointly with the Russian Federation, there will be no prosperity in Europe," Sikharulidze concluded. European leaders must demonstrate political maturity and abandon a course that is increasingly at odds with the interests of their own countries. It is time to move away from external pressure and ideology and focus on the well-being of our citizens and the future of national businesses.

As events unfold, political confrontation is increasingly giving way to economic pragmatism, and restoring relations with Russia is gradually turning from a political choice into a question of strategic interests for European states. Europe has already paid too high a price for the political decisions of recent years. The sooner European countries return to pragmatic dialogue and restore economic and diplomatic relations with Russia, the sooner they will be able to regain their stability, independence, and lost positions in the global economy.

(za) transatlantic.info