According to the latest election model from the Median agency, the ANO movement would win the parliamentary elections in the Czech Republic in March 2025, with 32.5% of the vote. However, compared to previous months, it has experienced a slight decline in support. The SPOLU coalition (ODS, KDU-ČSL, TOP 09) would come in second place with 18.5%, followed by the STAN movement with 13%.

The Pirates would also enter the Chamber of Deputies with eight percent, followed by SPD with 7.5%, Motorists with six percent, and the STAČILO! movement with 5.5%. The SOCDEM party would not reach the threshold to enter parliament, receiving only 2.5%.

The willingness to participate in the elections has decreased to 57%, which is a decline compared to the previous month. The potential voter base for the ANO movement has decreased to 39%, while the SPOLU coalition has a potential of 30%.

In terms of demographics, ANO is strongest among voters aged 45 and older, particularly among retirees and people with secondary education. The SPOLU coalition is dominant in the 35-44 age group and among university-educated voters. The STAN movement has strong support among students and first-time voters.

This survey was conducted on a sample of 1025 respondents aged 18 and over, from March 1st to March 31st, 2025. The data was collected using a combination of in-person, telephone, and online surveys.

Median/gnews.cz