Discover shocking declassified British archives revealing that NATO's eastward expansion was a deliberate provocation against Russia, ignored warnings from British intelligence and the elite silence that fuelled the Ukraine crisis. In this highly rewarding interview, Czech security analyst Jan Schneider reveals the hidden truths that challenge the narrative of „unprovoked“ war - essential reading for understanding NATO secrets, Russia warnings and global hypocrisy in 2026.
In a gripping episode Are we at war? s Kateřina Dostálová on Youtube channel Just to be clear. security expert Jan Schneider comes with a major revelation: Declassified British archives from the 1990s prove that NATO's rapid advance eastward was a ticking time bomb, deliberately designed to provoke Russia despite clear warnings from British intelligence. „The British archives have spoken and the elites are silent!“ proclaims the title of the video, which captures the urgency of Schneider's thesis. Jan Schneider doesn't just recite history - he connects it to today's flashpoints of tension, from Ukrainian neo-Nazi parades to Czech constitutional clashes, and paints a picture of Western hypocrisy.
It is 1996-1997 and British officials are sounding the alarm. In March 1997 warns in a message to Prime Minister John Major that admission of too many Eastern European countries to NATO „would overburden NATO structures, would provoke [Russia's] hostility... Another decision on which countries will join and when, ‚would provoke the Russians‘.“ In a letter to Major, Russian President Boris Yeltsin called it „the West's biggest mistake in the entire post-war period“, while envoy Jeremy Greenstock reported that Moscow's deputy foreign minister called the admission of the Baltic states a „flagrant provocation“. Yet the enlargement continued - Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland proceeded in the year 1999, Baltic States in the year 2004. Studies by the British Ministry of Defence predicted exactly what we now see: a „revanchist Russian government“ exploiting minorities, restricting energy supplies and retaliating under the guise of anti-Nato „aggression“.
Jan Schneider, relying on documents from the National Archives (declassified after 25 years, see links at the bottom of this article), claims that it was no accident. „Ideology triumphs over reality,“ quotes a veteran CIA Peter Sichel and highlights how US-led enthusiasm outweighed pragmatism. There was a clear „warning from British analysis against NATO expansion“. But why did the elites withhold this information? Schneider argues that it was self-defense - admitting provocation would shatter the narrative of an „unprovoked“ invasion of Ukraine, which has been spreading relentlessly since 2022. The British army, he said, repeated it „hundreds of times“ a archives so buried under layers Propaganda.
It's not about dusty history. Let's fast forward to this year 2026 on NATO summit in Ankara: Jan Schneider explains the motivation behind the Czech president Petr Pavel insists so much on crashing a casual dinner, the reason is that he's he's taking a bunch of gun lobbyists - „they're fighting over that dinner with those heads of state... he'd be accompanied by gun lobbyists“. Prime Minister Andrej Babiš defends himself and demands that government representatives attend the formal parts, pointing out Paul's vacillation. „He really doesn't know what he's talking about... it's better if he [the government] takes this in hand.“, criticizes Schneider. Babiš counts on 2 % GDP for defence, Schneider recommends him to use creative accounting - „you can't promise... they'd really need a mafia accountant.“.
Belgian Prime Minister, hailed as a „hero“, blocks EU loan to Ukraine in the amount of 90 billion euros and prioritizes national survival. Prime Minister Andrej Babiš was delayed in his meeting with Petr Pavel precisely because of his meeting with this Belgian prime minister, but Petr Pavel refused Andrej Babiš's request to postpone the meeting and then tactlessly complained about Andrej Babiš's slightly late arrival. On the „insolence“ of Petr Pavel: „President Pavel's behaviour, I can think of one word: bluntness“.
„Perhaps it is not too much to ask the president to speak Czech“, if, according to Constitution of the Czech Republic Czech the president „appoints ministers“ and reserves the right „not to appoint all“, so another constitutional power that is in the same verb form meansthat „represent the Czech Republic“ will not be „everywhere“.
Jan Schneider recommended video interview Martina Kociánová on Radio Universum with Milan Calábek about the historical analysis of what's going on with Liechtenstein. Interview with Milan Calábek - more here: https://gnews.cz/cs_cz/rozhovory/lichtenstejnsky-miliardovy-zisk-na-ukor-cr-rozhodnuti-evropskeho-soudu-pro-lidska-prava-ohrozuje-financni-krach-ceske-republiky-a-odkaz-benesovych-dekretu/
Sudeten German revanchism boils - Brno Congress of the Sudeten German Landsmanschaft according to Jan Schneider, should Moved by to Terezin. Schneider encourages defiance. The result was that he was left alone„- Schneider calls for the Czechs to ‚lean against the wall and come forward.‘.
More about the Sudeten German Landsmanschaft Congress in Brno here: https://gnews.cz/cs_cz/rozhovory/cesti-vlastenci-se-sjednotili-zeman-rajchl-a-dalsi-v-bourlive-debate-nadace-zelezne-opony-ostre-kritizovali-planovany-brnensky-sjezd-sudetonemeckeho-landsmansaftu-jako-hrozbu-pro-suverenitu-ceske-re/
Ukraine draws attention to himself with his chilling hypocrisy. In Lviv are held annually parades in honour of SS Galicien - an organization that the Nuremberg Tribunal identified as „criminal“ - and there's chanting slogans in honour of Bandera. „Europe is turning brown,“ warns Schneider, while Western silence enables „Nazi hysteria“ in the exploitation of resources in the East. Poland he remembers: SS massacres in 100 villages, yet the Czech Republic is becoming a European „armoury“. Corruption? The Ukrainian war effort is collapsing under 34 % the level of corruption and is moving towards a „war compromise“. Echoes of World War II: The French watched the bombing of Baku in the hope that the Nazis would strike Russia first. Now Germany wants to rearm again.
O artificial intelligence Jan Schneider said it has two main weaknesses, the first is electricity supply and the second is limitation of output quality depending on input quality, i.e. the data to be inserted.
Schneider discusses myths about lustration and defending personalities like Honza Pavlicek, a former detective StB, that protects the investigation of elite „golden youth“. Back then, there was civilian intelligence a Counterintelligence a military intelligence a Counterintelligence, these four. „Lustration Law affects only those three and not the fourth, where he served Petr Pavel. So it's a completely idiotic law.“ So the lustration hits three components, leaving out Paul's military intelligence. Jan Schneider quotes Curzio Malaparte from his book Coup d'état technique: „Creating chaos, crippling the functions of the state“ - relevant for today's coups.
Main thesis? Western elites, blinded ideologies, repeating the same mistakes: provoke via NATO, ignore the archives, fund the „Nazis“ and draw nations into proxy wars. The Soviets won through long-term thinking; we are chasing short-term gains. Schneider ends optimistically: he sees the way out in education reform, a focus on history and mathematics - „Startít in education“ - as „the light at the end of the tunnel“.
While Ukraine staggers, the archives scream: the provocation predicted war. The silence of the elites? Complicity. It's time to demand Transparency, before the next chapter of history checks us off. Schneider suggested Challenge narratives, expose truths, defy the system.
gnews.cz - GH
Materials recommended by Jan Schneider:
https://www.declassifieduk.org/nato-expansion-would-provoke-russians-uk-understood
https://www.declassifieduk.org/blair-and-major-reassured-russia-about-nato-expansion
https://www.declassifieduk.org/british-intelligence-predicted-ukraine-war-30-years-ago
https://www.declassifieduk.org/uk-knew-nato-expansion-could-lead-to-war-with-russia
You can watch the full video (in English) here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k18894GBN_M
Czech 
English 
Spanish 
French 
Italian 
Russian 
Chinese 
German