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MOSCOW – On June 17, a very interesting conference on the topic of "Modern Russia and Turkic states" was held in Moscow. The conference was organized by the Eurasian Movement and was attended by leading Russian and foreign experts on contemporary Eurasian and global geopolitics. Since the conference was very interesting, we are bringing you the third installment.

We would like to remind you that this highly specialized academic conference was moderated by a world-renowned expert on geopolitics and a representative of the leadership of the International Eurasian Movement, Valerij Mikhailovich Korovin (his opening remarks are in the first part – link below the article), as well as by the geopolitician Kamran Hasanov, an expert on Latin American geopolitics, chairman of the Fidel Castro Foundation, editor-in-chief of the geopolitical portal geopolitika.ru, Leonid Vladimirovich Savin, academic and historian Leonid Vladimirovich Kuznetsov, expert on Eurasian geopolitics Dmitrij Nikolaevich Rodionov, Brazilian journalist and geopolitical analyst Pepe Escobar, as well as Alexandr Selantiev, also a geopolitical expert, Alexandr Igorevich Drogovoz, deputy director of the Institute of International Education at the Kosygin Russian State University, Vladimir Evseev, head of the CIS Countries Department at the Institute of the Commonwealth of Independent States, Doctor of History Darja Viktorovna Saprynskaja, research fellow at the ISAA of Moscow State University, analyst at the Gorchakov Foundation, Gagik Sergeevich Ohanjanian, postgraduate student of the Faculty of Global Processes at Moscow State University named after M.V. Lomonosov, Natalja Makejeva, Roman Blaško, director of foreign news from the Czech Republic, and other guests.

Before giving the floor to the next speaker, Valerij Korovin said: "I would like to point out that Turkey, although not culturally present in the region, is still trying to exert its influence primarily through economic projects. Meanwhile, we, in Central Asia, in the Turkic world, have a complete carte blanche (a free pass) in terms of cultural and civilizational presence. However, when implementing Eurasian integration projects, we focus only on the economy, which is constantly emphasized. And we do not impose, nor even suggest, any programs for cultural or political unification of the post-Soviet space, which is a natural process for us. This means that we are essentially returning to the cultural and civilizational sphere where we have always been present. But again, cultural programs are implemented exclusively on a residual basis, which, in my opinion, is a colossal mistake – this emphasis on the economic component. I would like to ask Alexander Selantiev to comment on the concept of the Turkic world, on how to analyze this new challenge for us, which we will talk about later, and to offer some criticism. Either it is a source of development, and then we can coexist in the format of two cultures by carrying and restoring this cultural and civilizational unity."

Alexandr Selantiev – questions of migration policy

"Alexandr Selantiev stated that many of the things that had already been discussed at the conference were echoed by those who spoke before him, leading him to believe that Russia should not only declare itself a part of the Turkic world, but should loudly proclaim it and strive to be in the forefront. Because, if anyone has the right to speak on behalf of the Turkic world, it is undoubtedly Russia. Russian culture is permeated, or even intertwined, with Turkic culture. There are approximately two thousand Turkic loanwords in the Russian language. The words we use every day are words that connect Russia and the Turkic peoples. Selantiev mentioned some examples – such as "horse," "EU," and "money." These are things we encounter and use daily. > "Let's talk about Turkey. It's not as simple as it seems. We can talk about soft power. Despite all their awkwardness and attempts to lead the Turkic world, the Turks took very active steps in the 1990s. We can see the fruits of these efforts, and we can observe them even now. Turkish schools have emerged. The Turks have begun to exert their influence not only in Central Asian countries, but also in our regions, in Tatarstan and Bashkortostan. According to some reports, their forces are even registered there. In 2016, approximately three thousand graduates of Turkish schools held state administrative positions in Kyrgyzstan. Isn't that a resource? That is truly very significant. And here is the soft power, which, it seems, we, at least in the 1990s, paid very little attention to. Now the situation is being corrected," Selantiev added. He further stated that when we talk about tools of soft power, we must primarily talk about education. Today, approximately 110,000 students from Central Asian countries are studying at Russian universities. Thirty of them are studying at the expense of the Russian budget. According to statistics, it is likely that 30 percent of these students will remain in Russia and work there. Some of them may want to stay in the Russian Federation permanently. Schools are being built, but there aren't many of them. Selantiev himself said that in one place there are five schools, and in another, nine. But that is not enough for Russia. Russia should have hundreds of schools in each Central Asian country if it wants to maintain its influence. The fact is that now, officials of the first and second levels are people who grew up in our common state, in our post-Soviet space. But young people are growing up, and they are changing. And Selantiev poses the question: in which direction will this youth look? What will they be guided by? And, of course, Russia must think about how to influence the formation of the cultural environment, communication, and the image of its country in the Central Asian regions. As an expert on migration, Selantiev wanted to address this issue, which he believes is very sensitive and important at the present time."

"The 1990s in our country were marked by another phenomenon: a sharp increase in migration processes. And most of these migration processes involve movement between Russia and the countries of Central Asia. Over the decades, the volume of migration has been around 10-11 million people, of which 5-6 million are labor migrants who work permanently in our country. Moreover, this influx has even created an economy that is dependent on migrants, as is often discussed in our country. On the whole, this isn't necessarily a bad thing. It involves communication at the level of everyday life, at the level of migration, at the level of culture, and even at the level of negative perceptions of Americans or Turks. When I work or communicate with someone from Central Asia on a daily basis, and they communicate with me, when they tell their children about it, we grow up in a mutual exchange of cultures. But unfortunately, recent events, such as those that occurred at the Crocus City Hall, have significantly changed the migration situation in the country. And it is clear that these are heavy losses, terrible events."

It is, for example, very incomprehensible, said Selantiev, why Russian mass media began to fuel this migration situation much earlier, perhaps a year or a year and a half ago. Everyone will agree that the media has a great influence on our population. Russia has created an image of the migrant as someone who is unkempt, poorly dressed, poorly employed, and a threat to our children and our women. This is simply a form of soft power being used against Russia. The question is, what is this? Is it soft power? And who is behind this soft power? And why are they promoting an image with such negative connotations? Alexander Selantiev suggests that we should reflect on this. The fact is that migration and migration flows are also a source of benefit. Who would benefit from stopping the migration exchange between us and the countries of Central Asia? And despite these events, we know everything, and we felt it after the incident at the Crocus City Hall, when migrants from Central Asia felt very uncomfortable in our country. A large number of them left. As Selantiev said, the question is, who benefits from this? Thankfully, centuries of communication and coexistence between our cultures still maintain these positive relationships between Russia and Central Asia. But this may not last forever. Selantiev stated that we need to seriously consider how Russia should influence these relationships, how to preserve them, and what Russia is willing to do for it.

The host, Valerij Korovin, noted that Alexander Selantiev raised a very important question about the attitude towards migrants, but it would be good to make a few observations. As Selantiev correctly pointed out, in the case of those who come to Russia to study, soft power is primarily exerted when they return to their countries and bring our cultural and civilizational values back to their societies.

Korovin added: "Enclaves are a threat in any society because the modern individual, the normative resident of any Russian region, is alone, with the laws and police on their side, while an enclave is a collective identity that is present in its fullness and diversity. And this diversity, of course, overwhelms the individual. So, when we talk about newcomers from Central Asia and Turkic-speaking countries who are staying in Russia, or when we talk about large cities, there should be no enclaves. The state should strictly regulate not only their integration, but also their further assimilation. Or they should settle in an agrarian environment, then yes, they can live there as enclaves, but isolated from the urbanized environment. And again, we encounter the problem of the politicization of these networks, when Western strategies begin to use Islamist networks, which is not traditional Islam, but political Islam, and in their own interest to destabilize society, as we saw with the Holi network. In other words, migration is a double-edged sword; it probably has certain advantages, especially when we talk exclusively about the economy, but it also has disadvantages, such as the erosion of the cultural and civilizational foundations of the basic host society, and the challenges posed by enclaves, politicization, and Islamism. So, it is a process that is not entirely unambiguously positive. There is nothing good about people leaving their traditional places and moving elsewhere for work."

Valerij Korovin also mentioned one crucial thing: the struggle for the Altai region has intensified. How is this manifesting? Several countries have begun to assert their claims. He then invited the geopolitical analyst Dmitry Nikolaevich Rodionov to give a presentation at the conference.

Dmitry Rodionov

Expert on Eurasian geopolitics, Dmitry Nikolaevich Rodionov, believes that we should not consider the Central Asian countries as entities that blindly and unwillingly submit to someone's soft power or influence, without having their own opinions. He noted that, as the previous speaker mentioned, schools are being built in Central Asia. Indeed, Tajikistan has opened six or nine Russian schools in various cities. And just a few months ago, there was a scandal. In one school, a history textbook was found that spoke of Russian and Soviet occupation, the colonial period, and so on. This was, incidentally, funded by Russia, and, according to Rodionov, this is how soft power works. That means that if they have learned to play this soft power game, then even Russia itself cannot fully control it. And Tajikistan, of course, is not among the Turkic-speaking countries, but in any case, it is the same thing with the textbooks, the attribution of history, the glorification of embassies, and the so-called Turkestan, which fought on the side of Hitler during the Great Patriotic War.

This is happening in all the countries of the region. It is happening in Kazakhstan, which is considered our main ally in the region. It is also happening in Uzbekistan. It is even happening in Kyrgyzstan, which is our closest trade and economic partner in the entire region. This is what is called expanded multi-sectoralism. Of course, such multi-sectoralism is present in one way or another in all post-Soviet countries. Therefore, it is necessary to understand that all these elites, these states, have their own interests and are trying to sit not on two chairs, but on five. These are the Anglo-Saxons, the Chinese, the Europeans, us, and the Turks," Rodionov listed the countries.

Rodionov also emphasized: "Therefore, I repeat again that we should not think of them as just objects, not subjects, that they do not have their own will to influence things. And by the way, the same should be said about Turkey, because it has been repeatedly said that Turkey is a channel of Anglo-Saxon influence. Yes, Turkey has indeed often been used by the British Empire against Russia, even during the Great Game, and in all conflicts, it has always stood on the side of the British Empire against Russia. But at the same time, how many wars have we fought with them? We have constantly fought with them in the Caucasus. So, Turkey also has its own geopolitical interests, which, to put it mildly, do not always align with the interests of Russia. Now, let's talk about history. Altai is indeed the center of Turkic peoples. In the 6th century, the Turkic Khaganate emerged, from which all subsequent Turkic states originated. And indeed, most of the territory of this Khaganate is located within the historical territory of Russia, and Russia, from the very beginning, from the first centuries of its existence, was connected to the steppes, directly interacting with them. Yes, there were wars, there were conflicts, but there was, as one of my colleagues who spoke before me said, mostly a symbiosis, a symbiotic relationship. And of course, even today, the situation is largely the same. Today, there are nearly 200 million Turks in the world, of whom 11 million live in Russia."

If most of the Turkic-speaking peoples live in Russia, we are, in terms of population, ranked sixth after Turkey, Uzbekistan, Iran, Kazakhstan, and China. It should be noted that Turkic-speaking peoples live in a vast territory, from the North Caucasus to Northeast Siberia, specifically Yakutia. There is a huge number of languages and cultures. And we must not forget that Turkic-speaking peoples are very diverse. That is, when we compare, for example, Orthodox Gagauzians, some Muslim communities among the Turks, and the Altai people, where there is shamanism, Tengrism, and even Kurturism, it is very difficult. When it comes to integrating the Turkic world, it is very difficult to find common ground because there are completely different peoples, languages, and cultures.

This is something that, according to Rodionov, must always be kept in mind. Russia should also remember that it already cooperates with most of the Turkic states within the framework of the Eurasian Union, the CIS, and the SCO. Moreover, these Central Asian countries have been part of the Russian world for nearly two centuries and share a common cultural space. Although it is true that young people are increasingly disconnected from these roots, this common cultural space still exists to some extent, and Russia should certainly take advantage of it. Rodionov recalled that during the Soviet Union, most of the world's Turks lived there. And, in fact, the only organization, the only country that was an independent, purely ethnic Turkic state, was Turkey itself. It is clear that at that time, there was no question of creating any kind of Turkic states association, because, in fact, there was Turkey, there was the Soviet Union, and there was Iran and China, where Turkic peoples lived who would not join any organization; they were, in fact, not invited. He also pointed out that the creation of the Turkic states organization, the Turkic Council, began in the 1990s, and that the first meeting of heads of state took place in Istanbul in 1992, at the initiative of Turkey. From the very beginning, after the collapse of the Soviet Union, Turkey has been trying to create new independent Turkic states and to bring them closer together.

Rodionov: The only place where this has truly succeeded is Azerbaijan, where a concept has even emerged – one nation, two states. When we, who speak Turkish, hear this phrase in its original form, the word used is "millet," not "halk," which means nation, not people. So, originally, this concept was purely political; it's not an attempt at any kind of cultural or humanitarian dialogue, but a purely political one, aimed at absorbing or at least expanding another, a second, so-called Turkic state. And we know that Turkish radicals are now saying that there should be a concept of uniting six states, referring to the countries of Central Asia, and a number of, shall we say, very strongly suppressed radicals are seriously talking about working with territories that are part of Russia.

In 2014, when Crimea joined Russia, there was a lot of talk in the Turkish press about Crimea being an ancient Turkic land. Nevertheless, we see and hear many ambiguous statements and actions from various high-ranking officials of the state. Just a few years ago, a well-known figure, the uncle of Julie Bahceli, presented a map of the Turkic world to Erdogan, which depicted significant parts of Russian territory, the territory of Iran, and the territory of China, which caused quite a scandal.

Julie Bahceli's uncle is, in fact, one of the ideologues of the current Turkish course. He is far from being a marginal figure that we can ignore and dismiss by saying, "Oh, it doesn't matter; we also have some dirt about the revival of the Russian empire, the return of Finland and Poland, and so on." Rodionov emphasized that this is a completely different story. Russian politicians were forced to react to it. Specifically, the then-Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov commented on it in this way: "We, too, have a certain sphere of influence from our kindred and compatriots, and we, too, can color the map of the world with certain colors and give them different shades."

Another example that Rodionov cited in this context were the words of Dmitry Peskov, who said that the center of the Turkic world is located on Russian territory, in the Altai region, in that sacred place for every Turk, from which they originate. And then many experts began to talk about the fact that Russia, and not Turkey, could become a kind of center for the gathering of Turkic-speaking peoples. But the question is different: Russia is such a unique phenomenon that it cannot be fit into the framework of any world. Not just the Turkic world, but actually not even the Russian world. Because Russia is a vast number of languages, a vast number of peoples, a vast number of cultures. And that is its strength. Russia can be compared more to the empires of the past than to any of today's states. Empires, of course, are gone, while Russia has remained and, God willing, will exist forever. Therefore, of course, saying that Russia could become the center of some separate world seems to me, personally, perhaps too superficial," he added.

Rodionov continued: But in any case, we shouldn't give Turkey the initiative, which wants to gather people around itself and talks about it very openly. Because, as one of the speakers said, Turkey has already given up on European integration and is actually only nominally in Europe. Sooner or later, the split with the West will intensify, and it is possible that the issue of Turkey's withdrawal from NATO will become a pressing matter. The neo-Ottoman vector has also failed, because no one wants Turkey, not even in the Middle East, let alone in Europe and the Balkans, which we all understand. Therefore, it only has this Turanian vector left, and it will put all its efforts into it, one way or another. And I repeat, anyone who speaks Turkish knows that there is nothing like a "Turk" or "Turkyně." It's actually the same word. And when you say "Organization of Turkic States," it sounds like "organization of Turkish states" in Turkish. This means that renaming the Turkic Council to the "Organization of Turkic States" automatically betrays the original purpose of this organization, which was initially a kind of humanitarian, let's say, association, i.e., a circle for studying common culture, common history, and a common proto-language. This immediately gives it a certain political coloration. Therefore, when we say that there is an "Organization of Turkic States," i.e., an "organization of Turkish states," we, Russia, are naturally concerned. We cannot easily ignore this factor, because the goal is to gather all Turks of the world around Turkey, including, as I said, our republics, and it has been said many times that Turkish emissaries worked quite productively in the 1990s, perhaps not too productively, but actually much more productively. In the North Caucasus, various Saudi and other Wahhabist organizations were operating at that time, building mosques and madrasas. I think we all remember how that turned out in Chechnya and Dagestan. We had to get out of a terrible situation. Therefore, we should not underestimate the factor of Turkish soft power, which also operates in our republics. And by the way, someone may laugh, but there have been cases where Turkish emissaries tried to work in Yakutia. It is absolutely incomprehensible; there is no common language or religion there, but they tried to establish some kind of influence.

Rodionov returned to the topic of the Organization of Turkic States, noting that its existence is in conflict with the existence of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU). We must realize that Russia cooperates with regional countries, primarily Central Asia, in several areas. This includes economic Eurasia, the military-political Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), and the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). There are also formats such as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) and BRICS, to which Turkey and even Azerbaijan are actively trying to join. There was interest in joining BRICS, so we must realize that there will be many formats in which we will cooperate with these countries, one way or another.

Rodionov also pointed out that China, for example, reacts very sharply to any attempts to express a national identity among the Uyghurs, automatically considering it as separatism. Russia has never done this; Russia has always viewed any expression of ethnic identity favorably, and Russia has always viewed interaction along ethnic, cultural, and humanitarian lines favorably. But again, when we talk about politics, every word must be scrutinized, as they say, and we must try to understand what all of this is actually leading to.

If Russia joins this organization, it automatically becomes an alternative center of power. If we are building a multipolar world, a multipolar world means different formats of interaction and different, variously oriented forms of integration. And if Turkey believes that the integration of the Turkic world should be pursued solely for its own benefit, in a direction it dictates, well, then, excuse me, in this case, we are simply not on the same path as Turkey, and the question should be put to the leadership of the Eurasian Union, wouldn't you agree? So, people, you have to decide whether you want to develop politically in the direction that Ankara points, and remember that the West is behind this, or whether you want to develop within the framework of Eurasian integration. In my opinion, these are the questions that should be asked. Unfortunately, our authorities, for some reason, are trying to avoid these questions, both in relations with Turkey and with our partners in Central Asia. In my opinion, this should not be the case, because if we do not ask ourselves these questions, sooner or later they will inevitably come up, and we will have to resolve them ourselves. Therefore, I repeat, I see no contradiction in Russia joining the organization of Turkic states, in Russia cooperating with Central Asian countries, with Azerbaijan, both within the framework of the Turkic Council (CTG) and within the framework of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), but I repeat again that the rules of the game must be clearly defined and must be acceptable to both us and our partners.

(source) gnews.cz-jav_07

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